From 568479d4da7501425c60a36c122af2f1373c341d Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: Jeff Huffman <tejing@tejing.com>
Date: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 00:46:38 -0500
Subject: [PATCH] make newsfeed update delay adaptive per-feed

---
 homeConfigurations/tejing/news/default.nix   |   3 -
 homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.public.nix |  11 +-
 homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.secret.nix | Bin 17783 -> 19194 bytes
 homeModules/sfeed/default.nix                | 233 +++++++++++++++----
 homeModules/sfeed/regressions.awk            | 132 +++++++++++
 5 files changed, 325 insertions(+), 54 deletions(-)
 create mode 100644 homeModules/sfeed/regressions.awk

diff --git a/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/default.nix b/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/default.nix
index c7c3079..8eb9584 100644
--- a/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/default.nix
+++ b/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/default.nix
@@ -39,9 +39,6 @@ in
   # Enable my sfeed module
   my.sfeed.enable = true;
 
-  # Update every hour, at a non-round time
-  my.sfeed.update = "*:45:35";
-
   # Pass useful args through to submodule config
   my.sfeed.rc._module.args = { inherit pkgs my; };
   my.sfeed.rc.imports = [
diff --git a/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.public.nix b/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.public.nix
index 8b5ab67..e4c17dc 100644
--- a/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.public.nix
+++ b/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.public.nix
@@ -56,15 +56,14 @@ in
   };
 
   # Gets around cloudflare's bot detection, last time I checked
-  fetch.imitate_browser = {
+  helper.curl_cf = {
     code = ''
-      curl --no-alpn -fsSLm 15 -A ${escapeShellArg innocuousUserAgent} "$2"'';
+      curl --no-alpn -fsSL -A ${escapeShellArg innocuousUserAgent} "$@"'';
     inputs = [ pkgs.curl ];
   };
-  fetch.imitate_browser_post = {
+  fetch.imitate_browser = {
     code = ''
-      curl --no-alpn -fsSLm 15 -A ${escapeShellArg innocuousUserAgent} -X POST "$2"'';
-    inputs = [ pkgs.curl ];
+      curl_cf -m 15 "$2"'';
   };
 
   # A good general pattern for scraping html pages
@@ -114,7 +113,7 @@ in
   helper.normalize_dates = {
     code = ''awk -F'\t' -v OFS=$'\t' -f '' + pkgs.writeText "sfeed_process_dates.awk" ''
       BEGIN {
-        datecmd = "${pkgs.coreutils}/bin/date -f- +%s"
+        datecmd = "${pkgs.coreutils}/bin/date -uf- +%s"
         PROCINFO[datecmd, "pty"] = 1
       }
       {
diff --git a/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.secret.nix b/homeConfigurations/tejing/news/rc.secret.nix
index fd6b67121f55ed4f29a7dec335178d6a66627b1f..7431b811053d03f4a32c9d41b5d3eb36807408a6 100644
GIT binary patch
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diff --git a/homeModules/sfeed/default.nix b/homeModules/sfeed/default.nix
index 31f63e9..f2eb737 100644
--- a/homeModules/sfeed/default.nix
+++ b/homeModules/sfeed/default.nix
@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ let
     optionalString optionalAttrs splitString mapAttrsToList groupBy'
     nameValuePair removeSuffix unique filterAttrs makeBinPath
     mkEnableOption mkOption mkIf;
-  inherit (lib.types) attrsOf submodule str ints listOf package nullOr submoduleWith;
+  inherit (lib.types) attrsOf submodule str ints float listOf package nullOr submoduleWith;
   inherit (pkgs) resholve;
 
   # Changing these 2 lines will safely relocate this module's options
@@ -33,8 +33,7 @@ let
   defineFunctions = funcs: concatMapStringsSep "\n"
     ({name, value}: ''
       ${name}() {
-      ${indentString "  " ''
-        ${removeSuffix "\n" value}''}
+      ${indentString "  " (removeSuffix "\n" value)}
       }'')
     (if isList funcs
      then funcs
@@ -44,12 +43,9 @@ let
   # like branches
   caseStatement = word: default: branches: ''
     case ${word} in
-    ${indentString "  " ''
-      ${concatMapStringsSep "\n" ({ patterns, commands }: ''
+    ${indentString "  " (concatMapStringsSep "\n" ({ patterns, commands }: ''
       ${patterns})
-      ${indentString "  " ''
-        ${removeSuffix "\n" commands}
-        ;;''}'')
+      ${indentString "  " (removeSuffix "\n" commands + "\n;;")}'')
         (mapAttrsToList
           (_: patterns:
             { patterns = concatMapStringsSep "|" escapeShellArg patterns;
@@ -63,44 +59,116 @@ let
             (mapAttrsToList
               (pattern: commands: { inherit pattern commands; })
               branches))
-        ++ [ { patterns = "*"; commands = default; } ])}''}
+        ++ [ { patterns = "*"; commands = default; } ]))}
     esac'';
 
-  # Code for the feed() function
-  feed_function = defineFunctions {
-    feed = ''
-      [ "$(jobs | wc -l)" -ge ${toString cfg.jobs} ] && wait -nf
-      _feed "$@" &
+  settings = concatMapStringsSep "\n" ({name,value}: "${name}=${escapeShellArg value}") (mapAttrsToList nameValuePair {
+    maxjobs = cfg.jobs;
+    sfeedpath="${config.home.homeDirectory}/.sfeed/feeds";
+    stamppath="${config.home.homeDirectory}/.sfeed/stamps";
+  });
+
+  makedirs = concatMapStringsSep "\n" (dir: "mkdir -p ${dir}") [
+    ''"$stamppath"''
+  ];
+
+  cp_function = defineFunctions {
+    cp_function = ''
+      test -n "$(declare -f "$1")" || return
+      eval "''${_/#"$1"/"$2"}"
     '';
   };
 
+  # Code for the _feed() function
+  feed_function = ''
+    cp_function _feed __feed
+    ${defineFunctions {
+    "_feed" = ''
+      local name="$(printf '%s' "$1" | tr '/' '_')"
+      local file="$sfeedpath/$name"
+      local stamp="$stamppath/$name"
+      if __feed "$@"; then
+        touch "$file"
+        rm -f "$stamp"
+        return 0
+      else
+        touch "$stamp"
+        return 1
+      fi
+    '';
+    }}'';
+
+  # Code for the adaptfeed() function
+  adaptfeed_function = defineFunctions {
+    adaptfeed = ''
+      local file="''${sfeedpath}/$(printf '%s' "''${10}" | tr '/' '_')"
+      local stamp="''${sfeedpath%%/feeds}/stamps/$(printf '%s' "''${10}" | tr '/' '_')"
+      mkdir -p "''${sfeedpath%%/feeds}/stamps"
+
+      if [ -e "$file" ]; then
+        local lastchecked="$(stat -c'%Y' "$file")"
+      else
+        local lastchecked=0
+      fi
+
+      if [ -e "$stamp" ]; then
+        local lastfailed="$(stat -c'%Y' "$stamp")"
+      else
+        local lastfailed=0
+      fi
+
+      # Temporarily set pipefail
+      local restore_opts="$(shopt -po pipefail)";set -o pipefail
+
+      if sort -k1,1n "$file" | awk -F'\t' -v recentdiv="$1" -v recentmin="$2" -v regressiondiv="$3" -v regressionmin="$4" -v maxdelay="$5" -v firststeplength="$6" -v weightdoublingtime="$7" -v backofffactor="$8" -v deferprobablility="$9" -v lastchecked="$lastchecked" -v lastfailed="$lastfailed" -f ${./regressions.awk}; then
+        # Restore pipefail setting
+        eval "$restore_opts"
+      else
+        # Restore pipefail setting
+        eval "$restore_opts"
+
+        shift 9
+        feed "$@" || return
+      fi
+    '';
+  };
+
+  # Command to go in the feeds() function, for a given feed
+  feed_command = name: {url, baseurl, encoding, adapt, ... }:
+    (if adapt.enable then
+      "adaptfeed " + escapeShellArgs [
+        adapt.recentdiv
+        adapt.recentmin
+        adapt.regressiondiv
+        adapt.regressionmin
+        adapt.maxdelay
+        adapt.firststeplength
+        adapt.weightdoublingtime
+        adapt.backofffactor
+        adapt.deferprobablility
+      ]
+     else
+       "feed"
+    ) + " " + escapeShellArgs (
+      [ name url ] ++
+      (if encoding != ""
+       then [ baseurl encoding ]
+       else
+         (if baseurl != ""
+          then [ baseurl ]
+          else []
+         )
+      )
+    );
+
   # Code for the feeds() function
   feeds_function = defineFunctions {
     feeds = if length (attrValues cfg.rc.feeds) == 0 then ":" else
-      (concatMapStringsSep "\n"
-        (feed_args: "feed " + escapeShellArgs feed_args)
-        (mapAttrsToList
-          (name: {url, baseurl ? "", encoding ? "", ... }:
-            [ name url ] ++
-            (if encoding != ""
-             then [ baseurl encoding ]
-             else
-               (if baseurl != ""
-                then [ baseurl ]
-                else [])))
-          cfg.rc.feeds));
+      concatStringsSep "\n" (mapAttrsToList feed_command cfg.rc.feeds);
   };
 
   # Code for all helper functions defined through cfg.rc.helper
-  helper_functions = defineFunctions
-    (mapAttrs (_: v: v.code) cfg.rc.helper
-     // optionalAttrs
-       (any
-         (feed: any (name: hasAttr name feed) overrideableFuncs)
-         (attrValues cfg.rc.feeds))
-       {cp_function = ''
-          test -n "$(declare -f "$1")" || return
-          eval "''${_/#"$1"/"$2"}"'';});
+  helper_functions = defineFunctions (mapAttrs (_: v: v.code) cfg.rc.helper);
 
   # Code to define all configured implementations for ${name} and override the ${name}() function
   functionOverride = name: optionalString
@@ -124,15 +192,19 @@ let
   # Generate the entire sfeedrc file
   sfeedrc = resholve.writeScript "sfeedrc" {
     interpreter = "none";
-    inputs = unique (concatMap (x: if x ? inputs then x.inputs else []) (concatMap attrValues (attrValues cfg.rc)));
+    inputs = unique ([ pkgs.gawk ] ++ concatMap (x: if x ? inputs then x.inputs else []) (concatMap attrValues (attrValues cfg.rc)));
     execer = unique (concatMap (x: if x ? execer then x.execer else []) (concatMap attrValues (attrValues cfg.rc)));
-    fake.function = [ "_feed" ] ++ map (name: "__${name}") overrideableFuncs;
+    fake.function = [ "feed" "__feed" ] ++ map (name: "__${name}") overrideableFuncs;
   }
     (concatStringsSep "\n\n"
       (map (removeSuffix "\n")
         (filter (x: x != "") (
           [
+            settings
+            makedirs
+            cp_function
             feed_function
+            adaptfeed_function
             feeds_function
             helper_functions
           ] ++ map functionOverride overrideableFuncs))));
@@ -160,6 +232,64 @@ let
         type = str;
         description = "URL of the feed";
       };
+      baseurl = mkOption {
+        type = str;
+        default = "";
+        description = "Base URL of the feed. If set to the empty string, the feed url is used.";
+      };
+      encoding = mkOption {
+        type = str;
+        default = "";
+        description = "Encoding of the feed. If set to the empty string, it is autodetected, falling back to utf-8.";
+      };
+      adapt = {
+        enable = mkEnableOption "adapting the timing of checks for this feed to its history" // {default = true;};
+        recentdiv = mkOption {
+          type = ints.positive;
+          default = 15;
+          description = "Divide the time from latest entry to latest check by this to determine recentdelay";
+        };
+        recentmin = mkOption {
+          type = ints.unsigned;
+          default = 60*60*24;
+          description = "Clamp recentdelay to be at least this";
+        };
+        regressiondiv = mkOption {
+          type = ints.positive;
+          default = 50;
+          description = "Divide the regression-estimated time per release by this to determine regressiondelay";
+        };
+        regressionmin = mkOption {
+          type = ints.unsigned;
+          default = 60*30;
+          description = "Clamp regressiondelay to be at least this";
+        };
+        maxdelay = mkOption {
+          type = ints.unsigned;
+          default = 60*60*24*30;
+          description = "Clamp the minimum of recentdelay and regressiondelay to be at most this, giving the final check delay";
+        };
+        firststeplength = mkOption {
+          type = ints.unsigned;
+          default = 60*60;
+          description = "The regression should consider the history to start this amount of time before the first entry";
+        };
+        weightdoublingtime = mkOption {
+          type = ints.positive;
+          default = 60*60*24*90;
+          description = "The doubling time of the exponential time-weighting used in the regression";
+        };
+        backofffactor = mkOption {
+          type = float;
+          default = 1.2;
+          description = "Check again after a failure if time since last success is more than this multiple of the time between last success and last failure.";
+        };
+        deferprobablility = mkOption {
+          type = float;
+          default = 0.1;
+          description = "Probability (between 0 and 1) with which to randomly defer checks when they are otherwise considered ready. Breaks up cadence between feeds over time.";
+        };
+      };
     } // listToAttrs (map (func: nameValuePair func (mkOption {
       type = nullOr str;
       default = null;
@@ -205,14 +335,24 @@ in
 {
   options = putopt {
     enable = mkEnableOption "sfeed";
-    update = mkOption {
-      type = str;
-      default = "hourly";
-      description = "systemd calendar event string describing when to update feeds (see man systemd.time)";
+    update.averagedelay = mkOption {
+      type = ints.positive;
+      default = 600;
+      description = "Average delay, in seconds, between runs of the service.";
+    };
+    update.deviation = mkOption {
+      type = ints.unsigned;
+      default = 30;
+      description = "How long, in seconds, to randomly deviate either way on the delay.";
+    };
+    update.accuracy = mkOption {
+      type = ints.unsigned;
+      default = 5;
+      description = "How long, in seconds, to non-randomly deviate either way on the delay to coalesce with other wakeups.";
     };
     jobs = mkOption {
       type = ints.positive;
-      default = 12;
+      default = 16;
       description = "number of simultaneous fetches to run";
     };
     rc = mkOption {
@@ -231,12 +371,13 @@ in
     home.file.".sfeed/sfeedrc".source = sfeedrc;
 
     systemd.user.services.sfeed_update = {
-      Unit.Description = "news feed update";
+      Unit.Description = "news feed updater";
       Service.Environment = [ "PATH=${makeBinPath (attrValues {
         inherit (pkgs)
           sfeed
           curl
           glibc # for iconv
+          findutils # for xargs
           coreutils
         ;
       })}" ];
@@ -245,8 +386,10 @@ in
     systemd.user.timers.sfeed_update = {
       Unit.Description = "news feed update timer";
       Install.WantedBy = [ "timers.target" ];
-      Timer.OnCalendar = cfg.update;
-      Timer.Persistent = true;
+      Timer.OnActiveSec = 0;
+      Timer.OnUnitInactiveSec = cfg.update.averagedelay - cfg.update.deviation - cfg.update.accuracy;
+      Timer.RandomizedDelaySec = 2 * cfg.update.deviation;
+      Timer.AccuracySec = 2 * cfg.update.accuracy;
     };
   };
 }
diff --git a/homeModules/sfeed/regressions.awk b/homeModules/sfeed/regressions.awk
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..e4955a7
--- /dev/null
+++ b/homeModules/sfeed/regressions.awk
@@ -0,0 +1,132 @@
+@namespace "regression"
+
+# Does a weighted linear regression of a step function f(t) with a weight function of exp(r*t)
+
+# The core regression formula used is:
+# y = b1*x + b0
+# b0 = (Σ[y]*Σ[x^2] - Σ[x]*Σ[x*y]) / (Σ[1]*Σ[x^2] - Σ[x]^2)
+# b1 = (Σ[1]*Σ[x*y] - Σ[x]*Σ[y]) / (Σ[1]*Σ[x^2] - Σ[x]^2)
+# where Σ[g(x,y)] = ∫[t₀ -> t] exp(r*x)*g(x,f(x))*dx
+
+# Persistent variables used by the algorithm:
+# r   = growth constant of the weight function
+# irt = r*t of the first step's start time
+# prt = r*t of the last step's end time
+# sy  = (∫[irt/r -> prt/r] exp(r*x)  *f(x)*dx)*r  /exp(prt)
+# sxy = (∫[irt/r -> prt/r] exp(r*x)*x*f(x)*dx)*r^2/exp(prt)
+
+# Components of the formula in terms of those variables:
+# with drt = irt - prt
+# with ef = exp(drt)
+# Σ[1]   = exp(prt)/r*(1-ef)
+# Σ[y]   = exp(prt)/r*sy
+# Σ[x]   = exp(prt)/r^2*(prt-1-ef*(irt-1))
+# Σ[x*y] = exp(prt)/r^2*sxy
+# Σ[x^2] = exp(prt)/r^3*(prt^2-2*prt+2-ef*(irt^2-2*irt+2))
+
+# b0 = (Σ[y]*Σ[x^2] - Σ[x]*Σ[x*y]) / (Σ[1]*Σ[x^2] - Σ[x]^2)
+#    = (exp(prt)/r*sy*exp(prt)/r^3*(prt^2-2*prt+2-ef*(irt^2-2*irt+2)) - exp(prt)/r^2*(prt-1-ef*(irt-1))*exp(prt)/r^2*sxy) /
+#      (exp(prt)/r*(1-ef)*exp(prt)/r^3*(prt^2-2*prt+2-ef*(irt^2-2*irt+2)) - (exp(prt)/r^2*(prt-1-ef*(irt-1)))^2)
+#    = (sy*(prt^2-2*prt+2-ef*(irt^2-2*irt+2)) - (prt-1-ef*(irt-1))*sxy) / ((1-ef)*(prt^2-2*prt+2-ef*(irt^2-2*irt+2)) - (prt-1-ef*(irt-1))^2)
+#    = (sy*(prt^2-ef*irt^2)+(sxy+2*sy)*(1-prt-ef*(1-irt))) / (ef*(ef-drt^2-2)+1)
+# b1 = (Σ[1]*Σ[x*y] - Σ[x]*Σ[y]) / (Σ[1]*Σ[x^2] - Σ[x]^2)
+#    = (exp(prt)/r*(1-ef)*exp(prt)/r^2*sxy - exp(prt)/r^2*(prt-1-ef*(irt-1))*exp(prt)/r*sy) /
+#      (exp(prt)/r*(1-ef)*exp(prt)/r^3*(prt^2-2*prt+2-ef*(irt^2-2*irt+2)) - (exp(prt)/r^2*(prt-1-ef*(irt-1)))^2)
+#    = r*((1-ef)*sxy - (prt-1-ef*(irt-1))*sy)/((1-ef)*(prt^2-2*prt+2-ef*(irt^2-2*irt+2)) - ((prt-1-ef*(irt-1)))^2)
+#    = r*((1-ef)*(sxy+sy)+(ef*irt-prt)*sy) / (ef*(ef-drt^2-2)+1)
+
+# a version of exp() that doesn't warn about rounding to zero
+BEGIN { exp_warn_breakpoint = -6554261109157969/8796093022208; }
+function exp_no_warn(x) {
+    if (x < exp_warn_breakpoint) return 0;
+    return exp(x);
+}
+
+# configure the weight function
+function config(dt) {
+    # calculate the growth constant of the exponential growth of the weight function, in terms of the given doubling time
+    r = log(2)/dt;
+}
+
+# initialize regression, with a given start time for the (not yet created) first step
+function init(t) {
+    irt = prt = r*t;
+    sy = sxy = 0;
+}
+
+# add a step of the step function, ending at the given time, with the given value
+function step(t, v) {
+    rt = r*t;
+    drt = prt-rt;
+    if (drt > 0) {
+        printf "Warning: Entries are not in time order! Skipping.\n" >>"/dev/stderr";
+        return;
+    }
+    ef = exp_no_warn(drt);
+    sy  = ef*(sy  - v          ) + v;
+    sxy = ef*(sxy - v*(prt - 1)) + v*(rt - 1);
+    prt = rt;
+}
+
+# calculate the reciprocal of the slope of the linear regression result
+function recip_slope() {
+    drt = irt - prt;
+    ef = exp_no_warn(drt);
+    divisor = r*((1 - ef)*(sxy + sy) + (ef*irt - prt)*sy);
+    if (divisor == 0) return strtonum("+inf");
+    return (ef*(ef - drt^2 - 2) + 1)/divisor;
+}
+
+@namespace "awk"
+
+function min(x, y) {
+    if (x <= y)
+        return x;
+    else
+        return y;
+}
+
+function max(x, y) {
+    if (x >= y)
+        return x;
+    else
+        return y;
+}
+
+BEGIN {
+    regression::config(weightdoublingtime);
+}
+
+NR==1 {
+    regression::init($1 - firststeplength);
+    count = 0;
+}
+
+{
+    regression::step($1, count);
+    count += 1;
+    lastentry = $1;
+}
+
+END {
+    regression::step(lastchecked, count);
+
+    # Regression-based estimator
+    regressiondelay = regression::recip_slope()/regressiondiv;
+    regressiondelay = max(regressiondelay,regressionmin);
+
+    # Estimator based on time since last entry
+    recentdelay = (lastchecked-lastentry)/recentdiv;
+    recentdelay = max(recentdelay,recentmin);
+
+    # Use the minimum of the 2 estimators
+    checkdelay = min(regressiondelay,recentdelay);
+    checkdelay = min(checkdelay,maxdelay);
+
+    now = systime();
+    srand(now + count); # Probably random enough for what we need.
+    if (now >= max(lastchecked,lastfailed) + checkdelay || (lastfailed > lastchecked && (now-lastchecked)/(lastfailed-lastchecked) > backofffactor))
+        exit (rand() > deferprobablility) # Fail, indicating it's time to re-check, but occasionally put it off, to break up cadence between feeds over time.
+    else
+        exit 0 # Succeed, indicating it can wait till later
+}